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Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV SN-PIT, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1 in overtime, Sean Couturier scoring at 3:55. The Penguins scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 3:55 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were PIT 32, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (31 saves, .939), 2. Sean Couturier (1 G), 3. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Nedeljkovic31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT1140110502132
PHIPHI081140714233

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel (19), B. Rust (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:14

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:46

Overtime

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:55

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:04PHICam York · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:26PHIserved by J. Farabee · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 14:43PITRadim Zohorna · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 15:37PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, OT 3:55 — PHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.41C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.33O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.31O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.17T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.13O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10C. York · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 3.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
2.81 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT41%59%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000+130.09000—27:26
58K. LetangD000-210.04210—26:35
28M. PetterssonD000+120.07000—24:38
59J. GuentzelC011-120.45100022:57
87S. CrosbyC101-140.631103722:31
71E. MalkinC000030.510105020:02
17B. RustR011020.13000—19:34
19R. SmithR000020.14110—17:32
10D. O'ConnorL000020.07000—17:29
27R. GravesD000000.00120—16:05
5R. SheaD000020.03020—15:28
20L. EllerC000000.190003314:54
7J. LudvigD000-110.09200—12:26
77J. CarterC000010.021107811:46
63R. ZohornaL000020.09002—11:24
11A. NylanderL000010.14030—10:11
15J. KoppanenL000010.060002509:32
43J. HarkinsC000030.08010009:19
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(O)33312.9393.38+1.3863:51

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).