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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV BSWIX, BSNX·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonas Brodin's goal at 9:31 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.7 to 3.5; shots on goal were MIN 20, EDM 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 16 of 19 (.842). Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (41 saves, .953).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson41 saves, .953

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN170637420
EDMEDM06113124243

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(21)
    J. Middleton (12), J. Eriksson Ek (25)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:37

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(28)PPG
    C. McDavid (65), R. Nugent-Hopkins (35)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:27

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Brodin(5)
    D. Chisholm (3), K. Kaprizov (36)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:31
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(22)
    R. Hartman (14), M. Johansson (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:18
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(35)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (42), C. McDavid (66)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:51
  4. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(11)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:33

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:42EDMWarren Foegele · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:46EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 5:47EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 10:10MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 13:11EDMVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

3rd

  • 13:06MINDeclan Chisholm · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Jonas Brodin, 3rd 9:31 — MIN 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.36Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.36C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.35C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.19M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.17E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.16W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.11E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.00R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 4.7 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
3.53 G
All situations
2 G4.7
2.53 G
Even strength
0 G3.9
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN28%72%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 4.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
20
Shots on goal
43
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/4
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000+200.02110—25:18
25J. BrodinD101+220.06140—21:51
12M. BoldyL202+370.81000—20:51
14J. Eriksson EkC011+200.362023620:43
47D. ChisholmD011+210.02132—20:35
97K. KaprizovL011+230.67210—20:29
5J. MiddletonD011+200.03310—18:59
36M. ZuccarelloR101+120.58010—16:46
38R. HartmanR011+210.192002316:11
90M. JohanssonL011+220.02110—14:47
23M. RossiC000000.001202014:30
89F. GaudreauC000010.160005013:48
4J. MerrillD000010.36400—13:04
6D. MermisD000000.00100—12:50
27J. LucchiniC000000.00300012:32
10V. LettieriC000000.1612010011:55
26C. DewarC000000.043003811:40
21B. DuhaimeL000000.00200—11:09
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)43412.9534.66+2.6660:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).