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Oilers at Wild
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Minnesota Wild
▸7
FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-4. The Oilers scored first; the Wild answered. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 6:48 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 28, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 1.8 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (3 G, 2 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (3 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2111918428
MINMIN28013511732

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(2)
    E. Kane (2), L. Draisaitl (6)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:54
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(2)
    R. Hartman (2), J. Middleton (3)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:47
  3. EDM
    W. Foegele(2)
    E. Bouchard (5), M. Ekholm (1)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:27
  4. MIN
    R. Hartman(2)
    J. Middleton (4), C. Addison (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:01

2nd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(3)
    D. Nurse (1), Z. Hyman (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:32

3rd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(3)
    M. Zuccarello (7), K. Kaprizov (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:38
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(2)
    K. Kaprizov (6), R. Hartman (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-4
    6:48
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(5)
    P. Maroon (4), M. Johansson (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-5
    10:28
  4. EDM
    E. Kane(1)PPG
    E. Bouchard (6), L. Draisaitl (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-5
    12:55
  5. MIN
    R. Hartman(4)
    J. Middleton (5), K. Kaprizov (7)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-6
    15:50
  6. MIN
    M. Foligno(1)EN
    J. Eriksson Ek (4)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-7
    16:37

Penalties

EDM 13 PIM·MIN 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:39MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 2:25MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 5:19EDMserved by D. Holloway · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:22MINRyan Hartman · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 12:46MINserved by M. Rossi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:56MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Evander Kane5 min
  • 17:56EDMEvander Kane · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min

2nd

  • 2:03EDMserved by D. Holloway · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 12:45MINDakota Mermis · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 14:21MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 14:21EDMVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 17:45EDMserved by W. Foegele · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 3rd 6:48 — MIN 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.47M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.42R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.24R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.22C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.19M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.19R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.18R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.17M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.16P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.13J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.13C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.12R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.07J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.04C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.04J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.00M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN7 G · 4.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
2.64 G
All situations
6 G4.6
1.73 G
Even strength
6 G2.8
0.91 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM27%73%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 4.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
32
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/5
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC022020.460006322:38
25D. NurseD011-110.05130—21:46
91E. KaneL112-230.20405—19:49
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-410.030004719:44
14M. EkholmD011-230.14320—18:55
2E. BouchardD123-330.12020—18:18
18Z. HymanL011-220.34120—18:04
13M. JanmarkC000030.471105017:42
71R. McLeodC000010.240008017:28
5C. CeciD000-110.01010—16:32
27B. KulakD000010.02110—15:57
28C. BrownR000020.04000—15:15
55D. HollowayL000010.181006715:04
37W. FoegeleL202-330.25000—13:38
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00112—13:16
10D. RyanC000-100.001005010:45
86P. BrobergD000010.02200—09:16
21A. ErneL000-100.02100—08:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)31256.8064.16-1.8459:17

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).