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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸2
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
FinalTV NHLN, MSG-B·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Sabres answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Clifton's goal at 3:05 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.9, CBJ 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 37, CBJ 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Clifton (1 G), 2. Daniil Tarasov (35 saves, .946), 3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Clifton1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    D. Tarasov35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11601318237
CBJCBJ1110807126

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(15)PPG
    K. Marchenko (13), I. Provorov (21)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:05
  2. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(6)
    K. Okposo (8), K. Clague (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:16

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Clifton(1)
    J. Bryson (3), Z. Benson (11)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:05

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:35CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 7:39BUFUkko-Pekka Luukkonen · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 7:52CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min
  • 10:30BUFRasmus Dahlin · Holding the stickdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

2nd

  • 10:00BUFKale Clague · Hookingdrawn by Kent Johnson2 min
  • 15:26CBJDamon Severson · Holdingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 18:36CBJDmitri Voronkov · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

3rd

  • 20:00CBJZach Werenski · Interferencedrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Connor Clifton, 3rd 3:05 — BUF 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.19J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.18A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.17B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.16D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.15E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.12E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.11K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.10B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.09I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.07K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ1 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
2.92 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF54%46%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
37
Shots on goal
26
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
2
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000030.36432—29:54
10H. JokiharjuD000010.01130—25:07
78J. BrysonD011+110.02010—20:18
75C. CliftonD101+120.02200—20:03
12J. GreenwayL000010.04030—19:24
37C. MittelstadtC000020.150003318:36
72T. ThompsonC000060.49000017:14
89A. TuchR000000.0000010017:03
24D. CozensC000020.060005016:06
19P. KrebsC000+140.501006415:46
77J. PeterkaR000+140.31010—14:38
9Z. BensonL011+110.04020—13:15
53J. SkinnerL000040.470005013:03
21K. OkposoR011+120.270008612:59
28Z. GirgensonsC101+110.0130010011:02
50E. RobinsonL000+110.14000—10:51
33R. JohnsonD000+110.01020—10:41
38K. ClagueD011+110.03002—08:31
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)26251.9622.73+1.7359:54

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).