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Maple Leafs at Coyotes
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNO·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Utah Mammoth 6-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 2:00 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 69% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 36, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. William Nylander (2 G), 3. TJ Brodie (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    T. Brodie2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR31611228636
ARIARI0631406326

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(9)
    T. Brodie (14), T. Liljegren (13)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:56
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(50)PPG
    T. Liljegren (14), M. Marner (44)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:01
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(30)PPG
    M. Marner (45), J. Tavares (26)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    15:27

2nd period

  1. ARI
    M. Maccelli(9)
    N. Bjugstad (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:28
  2. ARI
    B. Hayton(3)
    A. Kerfoot (24), J. Brown (5)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:38
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(51)
    M. Marner (46)
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:07
  4. ARI
    D. Guenther(6)PPG
    C. Keller (30), S. Durzi (22)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    19:53

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(31)
    T. Brodie (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    5-3
    2:00
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(16)
    N. Robertson (10), B. McMann (7)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +5 ptsVideo
    6-3
    8:24

Penalties

TOR 10 PIM·ARI 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:09ARIMichael Carcone · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 13:58ARIserved by Logan Cooley · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:00ARIMathew Dumba · High sticking double minordrawn by Mitch Marner4 min
  • 18:12ARIMichael Kesselring · High stickingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 2:10TORJohn Tavares · High stickingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 8:00TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 8:00ARISean Durzi · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 15:53ARISean Durzi · Roughingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 15:53TORWilliam Nylander · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 18:20TORPontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 19:53TORWilliam Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalTOR goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 3rd 2:00 — TOR 69% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.31L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.15B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.12J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.10D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI3 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsARI
4.16 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
2.12 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR72%28%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.02 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsARI
36
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
35
17
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37T. LiljegrenD022+120.27340—22:37
78T. BrodieD022+320.09020—21:27
22J. McCabeD000-110.08220—20:14
88W. NylanderR202+170.79004—19:46
34A. MatthewsC202040.611004619:34
16M. MarnerR033020.32200—18:43
2S. BenoitD000010.01300—18:38
91J. TavaresC112+140.730125717:05
48M. LajoieD000000.00110—16:42
59T. BertuzziL000020.32110—16:39
11M. DomiC000+120.240225315:19
64D. KampfC000+110.002005314:13
23M. KniesL000-120.07110—12:41
83M. RifaiD000+100.00200—11:46
29P. HolmbergR000010.100125011:43
74B. McMannC112+210.21210011:28
89N. RobertsonL011+110.04010—11:22
18N. GregorL000-130.22100—10:51
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)26233.8852.63-0.3759:39

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).