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Coyotes at Maple Leafs
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 13:04 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.6 to 3.3; shots on goal were ARI 32, TOR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.5 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Knies (1 G, 1 A), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alexander Kerfoot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    A. Kerfoot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI09110113232
TORTOR1821414426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(11)
    M. Marner (50)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:04

2nd period

  1. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(12)
    W. Lagesson (4), W. Nylander (49)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:05
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(53)
    W. Nylander (50), M. Knies (15)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:12
  3. ARI
    A. Kerfoot(10)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:39

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Cooley(9)
    M. Maccelli (30), J. Välimäki (10)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:52
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(32)EN
    D. Kampf (6)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:00

Penalties

ARI 17 PIM·TOR 5 PIM

1st

  • 17:52ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 17:52TORRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min

2nd

  • 14:16ARIMichael Kesselring · Interferencedrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 20:00ARIJason Zucker · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalARI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Knies, 1st 13:04 — TOR 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.59W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.48R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.24M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.24A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.21M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.18B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.18M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.17B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.08R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsTOR
3.32 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI65%35%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/0
Power play
0/1
17
Penalty minutes
5
44
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD000010.02110—23:30
24M. DumbaD000040.11500—23:14
63M. MaccelliL011020.12000—20:08
50S. DurziD000-310.17310—19:28
17N. BjugstadC000040.263105818:21
4J. VälimäkiD011+120.07110—18:09
5M. KesselringD000-200.02412—18:09
29B. HaytonC000-220.154104617:32
67L. CrouseL000010.0412010016:53
8N. SchmaltzC000-310.052103316:35
92L. CooleyC101031.050005016:35
51T. StecherD000+120.08430—16:27
15A. KerfootC101-230.48120015:17
11D. GuentherR000-130.25100—15:06
53M. CarconeL000020.23110—12:23
22J. McBainC000000.153003811:45
16J. ZuckerL000-110.043010—10:22
38L. O'BrienC000000.00715009:54
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)25223.8802.48-0.5258:12

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).