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Stars at Rangers
NHL

Dallas Stars at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV BSSW, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kaapo Kakko's goal at 8:23 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were DAL 42, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (41 saves, .976), 2. Kaapo Kakko (1 G), 3. Adam Fox (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Kakko1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL010115017142
NYRNYR1611416326

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(9)
    A. Panarin (43), R. Lindgren (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:46

2nd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(7)
    E. Gustafsson (20), K. Miller (14)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:23
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(7)PPG
    J. Benn (23), J. Pavelski (28)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:10

3rd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(19)EN
    C. Kreider (25), M. Zibanejad (35)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:19

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:47DALMatt Duchene · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 18:37NYRAdam Fox · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

2nd

  • 1:43NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 6:41DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 7:44NYRVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 10:20DALJoel Hanley · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 6:17DALRoope Hintz · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 10:17NYRErik Gustafsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDAL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Kaapo Kakko, 2nd 8:23 — NYR 68% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.49A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.35A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.15V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.15B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR3 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYR
3.51 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.81 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL64%36%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYR
42
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
32
16
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000-110.08230—25:41
4M. HeiskanenD101-250.58000—24:33
53W. JohnstonC000-240.350005021:19
21J. RobertsonL000-130.12110—20:42
23E. LindellD000-210.04120—20:07
95M. DucheneC000-220.100026719:04
14J. BennL011-150.451126717:58
24R. HintzC000-140.810022517:26
20R. SuterD000000.00110—17:26
16J. PavelskiC011020.27020016:44
27M. MarchmentL000030.13310—15:41
91T. SeguinC000060.350103814:56
44J. HanleyD000000.00212—13:20
18S. SteelC000-110.050105011:36
10T. DellandreaC000020.020007511:35
33D. PouliotD000020.05120—10:33
12R. FaksaC000-110.051005008:46
15C. SmithC000-100.00000007:20
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)25232.9202.54+0.5457:13

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).