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Rangers at Stars
NHL

New York Rangers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Dallas Stars
▸6
FinalTV BSSW, MSGSN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 7:06 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 54% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.4 to 3.5; shots on goal were NYR 33, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason Marchment (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roope Hintz (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Marchment1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11617110333
DALDAL07110519636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(5)PPG
    C. Kreider (5), E. Gustafsson (9)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:25

2nd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(2)
    N. Bonino (1), J. Trouba (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:38
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(4)
    J. Pavelski (9), R. Hintz (8)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:23

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(8)
    M. Heiskanen (11), R. Hintz (9)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:01
  2. DAL
    M. Marchment(4)PPG
    W. Johnston (7), M. Duchene (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:06
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(6)
    M. Marchment (6)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:24
  4. DAL
    S. Steel(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.61win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:30
  5. DAL
    R. Hintz(7)EN
    T. Seguin (8)
    wristxG 0.55Video
    2-6
    17:04
  6. NYR
    B. Goodrow(1)
    B. Schneider (4), J. Trouba (6)
    backhandxG 0.71Video
    3-6
    19:44

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:25DALMatt Duchene · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 12:52NYRserved by W. Cuylle · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:02DALSam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 5:38NYRBarclay Goodrow · High stickingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 8:24NYRserved by W. Cuylle · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:39DALEvgenii Dadonov · Holdingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 15:54DALWyatt Johnston · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNYR goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 3rd 7:06 — DAL 54% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.61R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.55J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.32T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.24J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.21T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.19J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.18J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.16M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.12W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.08W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.00C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL6 G · 4.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsDAL
3.53 G
All situations
4 G4.4
2.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR55%45%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD022+240.13230—23:57
79K. MillerD000020.21220—22:31
20C. KreiderL011-220.64110—21:19
93M. ZibanejadC000-220.250204721:19
10A. PanarinL000-320.31000—20:03
56E. GustafssonD011-220.01110—19:53
16V. TrocheckC101-320.361104719:22
55R. LindgrenD000030.02120—18:02
13A. LafrenièreL000-330.3100010016:58
4B. SchneiderD011-110.03310—16:35
17B. WheelerR000020.060403316:00
6Z. JonesD000-310.01000—13:22
12N. BoninoC011000.120104312:14
21B. GoodrowC101010.711126012:08
26J. VeseyL000020.22210—11:34
24K. KakkoR101020.07100—10:28
50W. CuylleL000010.02510—10:03
71T. PitlickC000010.04200009:49
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)34304.8823.26-0.7458:57

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).