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Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·MetLife Stadium

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Smith's goal at 16:36 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 5.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were PHI 48, NJD 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 34 of 39 (.872); Nico Daws stopped 45 of 48 (.938). Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brendan Smith (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan Bastian (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    B. Smith1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Bastian2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI09227112348
NJDNJD213214213640

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    O. Palat (13), J. Marino (14)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:32
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:30

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:43
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:36
  3. NJD
    T. Meier (12), C. Lazar (12)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:48
  4. PHI
    O. Tippett(21)PPG
    T. Konecny (27), M. Frost (18)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:23

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (38), J. Marino (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-5
    2:48
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-5
    9:07
  3. NJD
    E. Haula (17), C. Lazar (13)
    wristxG 0.91Video
    3-6
    18:15

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:35PHIMorgan Frost · High stickingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 5:10NJDColin Miller · Delaying game2 min
  • 5:57PHIJamie Drysdale · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 19:18PHIScott Laughton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 8:32PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 8:32NJDColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 10:12NJDSimon Nemec · Holding the stickdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 10:51PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 13:46PHINick Seeler · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 18:00NJDOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPHI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Brendan Smith, 2nd 16:36 — NJD 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bastian · Goal · xG 0.91J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.35J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.30T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.30B. Smith · Goal · xG 0.29T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.29A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.29N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.27O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.17O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.14C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bastian · Goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.04A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.00C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.00L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD6 G · 5.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNJD
3.03 G
All situations
5 G5.5
2.52 G
Even strength
5 G3.6
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI27%73%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 4.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNJD
48
Shots on goal
40
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
41
Hits
23
26
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11T. KonecnyR022-210.113025023:09
74O. TippettR202-4100.34000—20:45
6T. SanheimD000-320.17350—20:15
8C. YorkD000-340.09050—19:31
26S. WalkerD011+130.27210—19:16
9J. DrysdaleD000-230.12002—19:09
48M. FrostC011-210.023323118:17
86J. FarabeeL000-250.3001010018:14
24N. SeelerD101050.29632—17:21
21S. LaughtonC011020.484124316:51
14S. CouturierC000-330.083005716:13
25R. PoehlingC000+110.162202416:00
19G. HathawayR000+120.1982010015:02
89C. AtkinsonR000-220.09100—13:33
5E. ZamulaD011000.03020—11:57
18M. StaalD000000.03000—09:39
27N. CatesL000030.06110—08:01
44N. DeslauriersL000-110.20502—06:22
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)39345.8724.59-0.4158:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).