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New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, MSGSN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Luke Hughes scoring at 0:28. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Hughes's goal at 0:28 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.4, PHI 3.4; shots on goal were NJD 35, PHI 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 44 of 47 (.936); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Hughes (1 G), 2. Cam York (1 A), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    L. Hughes1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. York1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD2701611111435
PHIPHI0812521400347

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:10
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:12

2nd period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.33win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:49

3rd period

  1. NJD
    T. Toffoli(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.28win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:31
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:00
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:09

Overtime

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:28

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·PHI 23 PIM

1st

  • 6:45PHISean Couturier · High stickingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 8:45NJDKevin Bahl · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 9:48PHIMorgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 16:15PHIGarnet Hathaway · Boardingdrawn by Luke Hughes5 min
  • 16:15PHIGarnet Hathaway · Game misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 3:42NJDNico Hischier · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 10:26NJDNico Hischier · Hookingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 12:55PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 19:52NJDLuke Hughes · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:49PHIMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 15:46NJDJack Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 17:10NJDBrendan Smith · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNJD goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Luke Hughes, OT 0:28 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.33O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.16S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.16T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.15C. York · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.14S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.14S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.11S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.11S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.06T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 3.4 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPHI
3.44 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.91 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD50%50%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
47
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
23
11
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC123+290.540026423:29
6J. MarinoD000-110.09000—23:18
43L. HughesD101+130.22022—21:45
13N. HischierC022+110.240045920:18
73T. ToffoliC112040.93000020:02
63J. BrattL000-120.300103319:12
91D. MercerC011+110.131205018:23
71J. SiegenthalerD000010.00130—17:12
2B. SmithD000+210.02132—16:47
20M. McLeodC011+120.152005016:08
10A. HoltzR101+140.45110—15:48
88K. BahlD000-100.01112—15:24
24C. MillerD011+240.13100—15:14
42C. LazarC000+100.00200013:54
18O. PalatL000010.00000—13:02
14N. BastianR000010.16010—08:27
11C. TierneyC000-100.000007507:48
79S. LabergeL000000.00100—04:00
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)47443.9363.38+0.3860:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).