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Ducks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸9
FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Anaheim Ducks 9-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 8-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bobby McMann's goal at 6:06 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 21, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. John Gibson stopped 9 of 14 (.643), 3.6 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (3 G, 2 A), 2. Bobby McMann (2 G, 1 A), 3. William Nylander (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    B. McMann2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1301018221
TORTOR4184915932

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(46)
    M. Knies (12), M. Marner (39)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:41
  2. TOR
    B. McMann(6)PPG
    N. Robertson (9), M. Lajoie (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:06
  3. TOR
    J. McCabe(5)
    W. Nylander (42), M. Domi (21)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:33
  4. ANA
    F. Vatrano(24)PPG
    R. Strome (21), J. Silfverberg (10)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:32
  5. TOR
    W. Nylander(28)PPG
    T. Liljegren (10), A. Matthews (22)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:37

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(47)PPG
    M. Marner (40), W. Nylander (43)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-5
    0:50
  2. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(7)PPG
    A. Matthews (23), T. Liljegren (11)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    2:51
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(48)
    M. Knies (13), J. McCabe (14)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-7
    5:39
  4. TOR
    B. McMann(7)
    M. Domi (22), T. Liljegren (12)
    snapxG 0.19Video
    1-8
    17:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Strome(9)
    G. Lindstrom (2), A. Killorn (14)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    2-8
    15:36
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(8)
    B. McMann (6)
    snapxG 0.10Video
    2-9
    17:54

Penalties

ANA 29 PIM·TOR 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:17ANAFrank Vatrano · High stickingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 10:52TORWilliam Nylander · Hookingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 10:52ANARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Max Domi5 min
  • 10:52TORMax Domi · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 16:25ANAGustav Lindstrom · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 19:49ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

2nd

  • 2:25ANAMax Jones · High stickingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 9:07TORMax Domi · Hookingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 14:39ANARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 14:39TORRyan Reaves · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 17:58TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 17:58TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 17:58ANARadko Gudas · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 18:13ANAMason McTavish · High stickingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

3rd

  • 13:34ANASam Carrick · Misconductdrawn by Ryan Reaves10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalANA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Bobby McMann, 1st 6:06 — TOR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.19T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.17A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.16R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.15W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.13W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.11N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.07B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCabe · Goal · xG 0.05N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lajoie · On goal · xG 0.00B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR9 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsTOR
2.32 G
All situations
9 G3.0
2.11 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
4 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA35%65%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsTOR
21
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
4/5
29
Penalty minutes
15
51
Hits
39
13
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+100.00100—23:35
91L. CarlssonC000-220.29020020:08
28G. LindstromD011+110.05122—19:36
7R. GudasD000-410.02439—19:32
5U. VaakanainenD000-420.04230—19:25
17A. KillornL011020.86700—18:43
14A. HenriqueC000-120.114006418:38
16R. StromeC112-150.390025017:58
34P. MintyukovD000-110.04400—17:51
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.09420—17:29
77F. VatranoR101-210.18202—17:07
19T. TerryR000-110.09000—15:35
33J. SilfverbergR011-100.0010010012:35
23M. McTavishC000-110.156124012:13
21I. LundestromC000-110.015006711:58
49M. JonesL000-100.00502—11:02
39S. CarrickC000000.0050105009:35
44R. JohnstonL000-100.00000—08:32
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson1495.6431.38-3.6240:00
1L. Dostal(L)18144.7781.63-2.3720:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).