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Maple Leafs at Ducks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸2
Anaheim Ducks
1
Final/OTTV BSW, SN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1 in overtime, Auston Matthews scoring at 2:12. The Ducks scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 2:12 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 57, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 55 of 57 (.965), 3.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (55 saves, .965), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. Jamie Drysdale (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal55 saves, .965
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Drysdale1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR01801512212257
ANAANA091100702128

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(18)SHG
    M. McTavish (15), J. Drysdale (3)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:41

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(12)PPG
    M. Rielly (24), W. Nylander (32)
    snapxG 0.74win prob +33 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:17

Overtime

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(30)
    M. Marner (25), M. Rielly (25)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:12

Penalties

TOR 24 PIM·ANA 29 PIM

1st

  • 3:00ANAJamie Drysdale · Slashingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 6:37ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Instigatordrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 6:37TORBobby McMann · Boardingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov5 min
  • 6:37TORBobby McMann · Fightingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin5 min
  • 6:37ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Fightingdrawn by Bobby McMann5 min
  • 6:37TORBobby McMann · Game misconduct10 min
  • 6:37ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 10:57ANAAlex Killorn · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 15:17ANAserved by T. Zegras · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:44TORSimon Benoit · High stickingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 8:05ANAFrank Vatrano · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 8:05TORTyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 9:25ANAMax Jones · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 12:55ANAJamie Drysdale · Cross checkingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalTOR goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, OT 2:12 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.29A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.13S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.13M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.2 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsANA
5.62 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.51 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
3.01 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR90%10%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.45 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsANA
57
Shots on goal
28
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/5
Power play
0/2
24
Penalty minutes
29
16
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
24
12
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD022+140.05030—26:17
16M. MarnerR011+170.73100—25:15
34A. MatthewsC101+1131.512105925:11
88W. NylanderR011080.60000—23:53
37T. LiljegrenD000-100.12500—20:11
78T. BrodieD000000.00110—19:44
91J. TavaresC101071.210006019:40
22J. McCabeD000-120.09130—17:07
23M. KniesL000030.54100—15:44
2S. BenoitD000040.14122—15:07
55M. GiordanoD000010.01110—14:53
64D. KampfC000010.090006414:17
59T. BertuzziL000-110.08002—13:04
18N. GregorL000010.0210010011:39
19C. JarnkrokC000030.321004011:36
11M. DomiC000-120.090005009:08
29P. HolmbergR000-100.0001010008:56
74B. McMannC000000.001020006:36
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)28271.9642.16+1.1661:30

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).