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Senators at Blackhawks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Chicago Blackhawks
▸3
FinalTV NBCSCH, TVAS·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Dickinson's goal at 18:08 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 42, CHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Bedard (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Dickinson (1 G), 3. Philipp Kurashev (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Dickinson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kurashev2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT17122013242
CHICHI181618322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    N. Foligno(12)
    P. Kurashev (21), C. Bedard (20)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:29
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(12)
    C. Giroux (30), M. Joseph (17)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:57

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Chychrun(9)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (22), T. Stützle (37)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:13
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard(16)
    P. Kurashev (22)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:54

3rd period

  1. CHI
    J. Dickinson(17)
    T. Johnson (5), J. Anderson (7)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +44 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:08

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:37CHITyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 6:51CHITaylor Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min

3rd

  • 7:32OTTErik Brannstrom · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalOTT goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Dickinson, 3rd 18:08 — CHI 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.29C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.16N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.12C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.09T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.08T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.00K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.00T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 1.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCHI
3.62 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT81%19%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCHI
42
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD101-140.42210—25:12
72T. ChabotD000-220.15020—24:08
85J. SandersonD000010.28020—21:56
7B. TkachukL000-250.56800—21:12
19D. BathersonR000-120.12200—20:52
2A. ZubD000-110.01010—20:03
18T. StützleC112020.314005819:49
9J. NorrisC000-120.202106019:02
28C. GirouxR011050.270004318:42
57S. PintoC000-140.210003817:32
91V. TarasenkoR011-130.32010—16:43
21M. JosephR011050.33010—16:25
71R. GreigC000000.14120014:45
26E. BrannstromD000000.00022—14:10
23T. HamonicD000020.02010—12:31
27P. KellyC000030.2222010007:15
12M. KastelicC000000.002106004:57
81D. KubalikL000010.00000—04:44
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)22193.8641.66-1.3458:02

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).