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Blackhawks at Senators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NBCSCH+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 2-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Parker Kelly's goal at 6:08 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were CHI 19, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Anton Forsberg stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Parker Kelly (1 G), 3. Jake Sanderson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    OTT
    P. Kelly1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI070606019
OTTOTT21601107234

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(20)SHG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:36
  2. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:08

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:09OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 12:12CHITaylor Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

2nd

  • 15:24CHIJason Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 1:32OTTArtem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Parker Kelly, 1st 6:08 — OTT 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.72D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.39S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.20T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.14C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.14J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.11M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.11B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.04T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.04A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.03A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsOTT
1.40 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsOTT
19
Shots on goal
34
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
35
14
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-120.12510—27:24
55K. KorchinskiD000010.01100—22:43
44W. KaiserD000-110.03210—20:56
72A. VlasicD000010.01040—20:30
98C. BedardC000-220.071006719:55
23P. KurashevC000-230.22110019:13
17N. FolignoL000-100.125005018:53
24J. MegnaD000000.00340—16:27
90T. JohnsonC000-110.17200016:16
16J. DickinsonC000020.071023315:24
11T. RaddyshR000000.00022—14:43
8R. DonatoC000-100.061005014:34
89A. AthanasiouC000040.341103814:19
27L. ReichelL000010.0200010013:45
15J. AndersonR000000.00400—13:36
58M. EntwistleR000010.132005012:12
84L. SlaggertL000000.03000—11:24
22N. ZaitsevD000-100.00000—06:15
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)34322.9412.07+0.0757:31

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).