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Avalanche at Hurricanes
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV ALT, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Bunting's goal at 12:06 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were COL 27, CAR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.8 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (3 G), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (4 A), 3. Michael Bunting (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen4 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Bunting1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL2809010227
CARCAR35110112527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(14)
    B. Skjei (21), J. Staal (10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:52
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(15)
    B. Burns (21), T. Teravainen (15)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:25
  3. CAR
    M. Necas(16)
    T. Teravainen (16), J. Slavin (17)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:51
  4. COL
    Z. Parise(1)
    L. O'Connor (12), S. Girard (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:33
  5. COL
    S. Girard(3)
    A. Cogliano (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:38

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Bunting(11)PPG
    T. Teravainen (17), B. Burns (22)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:06

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(16)
    T. Teravainen (18), S. Aho (38)
    xG 0.49Video
    2-5
    19:06

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·CAR 34 PIM

1st

  • 8:15CARMichael Bunting · Boardingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 8:41COLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 17:42CARJesper Fast · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:19COLRyan Johansen · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

2nd

  • 6:16CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:22CARserved by M. Bunting · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:25COLJonathan Drouin · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 15:28COLSamuel Girard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:42CARJordan Staal · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alexandar Georgiev2 min
  • 7:16COLJoel Kiviranta · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 9:14COLMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 9:14CARMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 12:16CARJordan Staal · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:58CARBrendan Lemieux · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:58CARTony DeAngelo · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCOL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Bunting, 2nd 12:06 — CAR 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.50S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.49J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.39J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.33M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.32J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.31S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.27M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCAR
2.62 G
All situations
5 G4.6
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCAR
27
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/6
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
34
14
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96M. RantanenR000-210.080005427:02
8C. MakarD000-230.32030—25:56
29N. MacKinnonC000-140.600003824:08
7D. ToewsD000010.01130—23:57
62A. LehkonenL000030.28110—22:27
4B. ByramD000-200.00000—17:18
27J. DrouinL000000.000045017:01
42J. MansonD000000.20330—16:22
49S. GirardD112+230.14042—15:53
28M. WoodL000-330.19012—14:57
12R. JohansenC000-200.001025614:27
20R. ColtonC000-130.323005612:58
25L. O'ConnorR011+220.011004012:24
3J. JohnsonD000-100.00100—11:54
9Z. PariseL101-110.202103311:48
11A. CoglianoC011000.000102509:31
22F. OlofssonL000-120.170002508:37
94J. KivirantaL000-110.12112—06:31
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)27234.8523.24-0.7657:08

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).