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Wild at Hurricanes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV BSSO, BSN·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 9:32 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals were close — MIN 3.4, CAR 3.7; shots on goal were MIN 19, CAR 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 G), 2. Filip Gustavsson (40 saves, .952), 3. Michael Bunting (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov3 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Bunting1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN131739519
CARCAR118013111242

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(11)
    S. Noesen (16), J. Drury (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:02
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(16)
    A. Goligoski (9), M. Rossi (14)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:43

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(17)
    M. Boldy (16), J. Eriksson Ek (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:18

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Bunting(10)
    S. Jarvis (19), S. Aho (35)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:17
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(19)
    J. Brodin (10), B. Faber (23)
    snapxG 0.70win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:32
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(18)EN
    B. Faber (24)
    slapxG 0.56win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:59
  4. MIN
    J. Middleton(7)EN
    Z. Bogosian (6), J. Eriksson Ek (17)
    wristxG 0.54Video
    5-2
    19:04

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:17MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 17:47CARSeth Jarvis · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 2:56MINMarcus Johansson · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 4:08CARMichael Bunting · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 6:58MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 14:18MINBrock Faber · Trippingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMIN goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 9:32 — MIN 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.24S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.20M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.19S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.13B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.12B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 3.7 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCAR
3.43 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN26%74%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCAR
19
Shots on goal
42
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
22
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD022+200.00022—26:36
25J. BrodinD011+110.02030—25:54
97K. KaprizovL303+351.06120—20:18
14J. Eriksson EkC123+421.030104819:20
23M. RossiC011+100.040204018:48
24Z. BogosianD011+100.00020—18:39
5J. MiddletonD101+130.56110—18:36
36M. ZuccarelloR000+310.020105018:05
38R. HartmanR000-110.010123916:07
17M. FolignoL000+210.19612—14:47
6D. MermisD000010.05110—14:44
12M. BoldyL011+210.17010—14:40
20P. MaroonL000-110.11100—13:34
33A. GoligoskiD011000.11200—12:27
21B. DuhaimeL000-110.01330—12:18
90M. JohanssonL000-110.07012—12:08
27J. LucchiniC000-100.001001407:35
51A. RaskaR000000.00500—07:24
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)42402.9523.69+1.6960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).