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Hurricanes at Wild
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV BSWIX, BSNX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Wild scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 11:02 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 28, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 G), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1131619328
MINMIN27012011230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    C. Dewar(8)
    D. Chisholm (4), R. Hartman (16)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:10
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(8)
    J. Martinook (12), J. Slavin (19)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:26
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(6)
    B. Duhaime (3), R. Hartman (17)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:39

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(13)
    S. Jarvis (29), J. Staal (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:35

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(13)
    J. Drury (18), T. Teravainen (21)
    deflectedxG 0.58win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:02

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:41CARTeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Vinni Lettieri2 min
  • 20:00MINBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 20:00CARMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

2nd

  • 13:09MINMarco Rossi · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 14:53CARMichael Bunting · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 2:03CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · High stickingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 9:00MINMarco Rossi · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCAR goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 11:02 — CAR 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.22K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.19B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.18J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMIN
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR55%45%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
30
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
21
4
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000020.22210—22:17
8B. BurnsD000+200.05010—21:54
22B. PesceD000-200.00000—21:36
24S. JarvisR011+100.032005018:47
74J. SlavinD011+210.01100—18:43
20S. AhoC000010.101004718:35
58M. BuntingL000-140.54114—17:38
37A. SvechnikovR101+130.29210—17:30
88M. NecasC000030.15010017:08
7D. OrlovD000010.03110—16:08
5J. ChatfieldD000-120.05210—15:32
86T. TeravainenC011+110.01002015:16
11J. StaalC112+110.324007115:15
18J. DruryC011030.251107315:10
48J. MartinookL011020.05100—12:39
71J. FastR000010.03100—11:17
82J. KotkaniemiC000020.130027109:19
23S. NoesenR101+110.6600010007:16
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)30282.9332.57+0.5760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).