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Wild at Panthers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸6
Florida Panthers
4
FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Florida Panthers 6-4. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aaron Ekblad's goal at 0:35 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 38% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 26, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 10 of 11 (.909); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 3 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN15310211626
FLAFLA0927219435

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(14)PPG
    M. Boldy (14), B. Faber (21)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:49

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(2)
    M. Tkachuk (31), C. Verhaeghe (21)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:35
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(14)PPG
    A. Goligoski (8), P. Maroon (11)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:22
  3. MIN
    B. Faber(3)PPG
    M. Boldy (15), J. Eriksson Ek (14)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:36
  4. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(8)PPG
    J. Eriksson Ek (15), K. Kaprizov (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    10:32
  5. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(8)
    A. Lundell (13), A. Ekblad (9)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    18:27

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(15)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (27), B. Faber (22)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-2
    0:41
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(3)
    A. Ekblad (10), S. Reinhart (24)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    8:05
  3. FLA
    G. Forsling(7)
    A. Ekblad (11)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    5-4
    8:23
  4. MIN
    R. Hartman(15)EN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.40win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-4
    19:48

Penalties

MIN 22 PIM·FLA 26 PIM

1st

  • 2:15FLAWilliam Lockwood · Roughingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 2:15FLAWilliam Lockwood · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 2:15MINZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by William Lockwood2 min
  • 5:58FLAWilliam Lockwood · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 5:58MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by William Lockwood5 min
  • 7:09MINMarcus Foligno · Boardingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 9:14FLAJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 9:14MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 10:54MINBrock Faber · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 13:38FLAKevin Stenlund · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 1:51FLASergei Bobrovsky · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 6:55FLANiko Mikkola · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 9:11FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 13:10MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min
  • 13:10FLARyan Lomberg · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 13:10MINBrandon Duhaime · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 15:04MINZach Bogosian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:48FLAAaron Ekblad · Elbowingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMIN goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Aaron Ekblad, 2nd 0:35 — FLA 38% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.22A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.13S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.12E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.1 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsFLA
2.85 G
All situations
4 G3.1
0.60 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
1.85 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN38%62%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
5/6
Power play
0/4
22
Penalty minutes
26
20
Hits
28
26
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD123-220.18202—25:33
14J. Eriksson EkC022+161.102205723:26
38R. HartmanR202030.470305721:16
5J. MiddletonD000-100.00130—21:10
97K. KaprizovL213-330.55200—20:35
25J. BrodinD000-210.01040—20:18
24Z. BogosianD000-110.02214—18:59
36M. ZuccarelloR112-360.1702010018:16
23M. RossiC000-300.100304316:31
12M. BoldyL022030.0700010016:16
20P. MaroonL011-100.00100—15:41
90M. JohanssonL000-100.000303315:40
6D. MermisD000000.06220—15:39
17M. FolignoL000+100.03407—12:47
33A. GoligoskiD011010.03110—11:09
21B. DuhaimeL000000.00127—09:17
26C. DewarC000000.001005005:16
51A. RaskaR000000.00100—04:13
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury11101.9090.83-0.1730:30
32F. Gustavsson(W)24213.8752.29-0.7129:28

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).