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Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Florida Panthers 2-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 12:56 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 75% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 1.2; shots on goal were FLA 41, MIN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.8 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 41 of 41 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (41 saves, 1.000), 2. Brock Faber (1 G), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson41 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA014012015041
MINMIN1511105221

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:54

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.25win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:56

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 18:09MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 2:10FLAUvis Balinskis · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 11:14FLAJosh Mahura · Roughingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 11:14MINMatt Boldy · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 12:48FLADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 17:46MINJake Middleton · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 0:18FLAEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 9:54FLANiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 9:54FLAUvis Balinskis · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 9:54MINBrock Faber · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 11:45MINMarcus Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalFLA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 2nd 12:56 — MIN 75% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.25A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 1.2 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMIN
3.10 G
All situations
2 G1.2
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G0.6
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA82%18%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 1.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMIN
41
Shots on goal
21
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
26
7
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000040.27010—26:32
42G. ForslingD000000.09110—23:36
16A. BarkovC000-130.411006023:00
13S. ReinhartC000-120.180006722:55
19M. TkachukL0000100.80100—21:29
17E. RodriguesC000040.32102019:53
7D. KulikovD000020.04022—19:43
23C. VerhaegheC000-130.26000019:37
77N. MikkolaD000010.09212—18:03
25M. SamoskevichR000020.28000—14:36
15A. LundellC000010.140106714:32
27E. LuostarinenC000000.002105414:06
26U. BalinskisD000-120.03214—12:30
28J. MahuraD000-100.00022—11:38
21N. CousinsC000030.08100010:31
82K. StenlundC000010.030106709:36
94R. LombergL000020.04000—06:26
18S. LorentzC000010.02000005:51
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)21192.9051.22-0.7857:18

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).