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Blackhawks at Sabres
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
0
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
FinalTV NBCSCH, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zemgus Girgensons's goal at 12:27 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.2, BUF 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 19, BUF 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan Johnson (2 A), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Johnson2 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI040807019
BUFBUF01317211331

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(4)
    R. Johnson (4), P. Krebs (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:27

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(14)
    R. Johnson (5), J. Quinn (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:57
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(13)PPG
    C. Mittelstadt (27), A. Tuch (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:06

Penalties

CHI 15 PIM·BUF 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:47CHIKevin Korchinski · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 12:21CHISeth Jones · Cross checkingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

2nd

  • 3:18BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Reese Johnson2 min
  • 5:21BUFserved by R. Dahlin · Interference bench2 min
  • 9:24CHIIsaak Phillips · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 16:12BUFEric Robinson · Trippingdrawn by Cole Guttman2 min

3rd

  • 0:46CHIRem Pitlick · Interferencedrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 5:19CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Boardingdrawn by Erik Johnson5 min
  • 17:12BUFJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by Isaak Phillips2 min
  • 19:50CHIJarred Tinordi · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 19:50BUFJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCHI goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Zemgus Girgensons, 2nd 12:27 — BUF 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.13E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.11C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.09J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Power · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsBUF
2.20 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI46%54%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsBUF
19
Shots on goal
31
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/6
15
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
13
1
Giveaways
1
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-150.34042—24:04
72A. VlasicD000-100.00020—22:28
11T. RaddyshR000020.11210—20:10
25J. TinordiD000-100.00122—18:23
55K. KorchinskiD000010.00022—18:14
24J. MegnaD000000.00310—18:08
41I. PhillipsD000-100.00142—16:36
23P. KurashevC000000.140155616:02
16J. DickinsonC000020.244007315:12
20R. PitlickC000-120.4410210015:04
43C. BlackwellC000030.33000014:15
14B. KatchoukL000010.083005013:49
27L. ReichelL000-100.00000—13:03
15J. AndersonR000000.00100—12:35
70C. GuttmanC000-210.02010012:35
52R. JohnsonC000010.386003312:12
13Z. SanfordL000000.000005012:09
58M. EntwistleR000-210.093104011:51
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)31283.9032.36-0.6460:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).