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Montréal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSGSN, SN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 15:29 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 25, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Nico Daws stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 2. Luke Hughes (1 G), 3. Alexander Holtz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    L. Hughes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    A. Holtz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1101718325
NJDNJD01101128230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:48

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:45

3rd period

  1. NJD
    L. Hughes(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:47
  2. NJD
    A. Holtz(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:38
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.30win prob +41 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:29

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:11MTLKaiden Guhle · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 0:25MTLMike Matheson · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 3:40NJDMichael McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:15MTLNick Suzuki · High sticking double minordrawn by Kevin Bahl4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalMTL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 3rd 15:29 — MTL 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.36J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.30N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.28N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.23N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.19E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.13D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · Goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.04S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.00C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNJD
2.43 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.03 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL31%69%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
30
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
2
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000+140.09132—27:13
21K. GuhleD000+100.00142—23:48
14N. SuzukiC000+110.041043620:23
22C. CaufieldR112+220.48100—18:57
58D. SavardD000000.00120—18:32
40J. ArmiaR011+230.11100—18:16
47J. StrubleD000000.00110—17:44
20J. SlafkovskýL101+120.35020—17:29
54J. HarrisD011+210.11110—17:28
71J. EvansC000000.000006716:15
91S. MonahanC022+220.260002116:15
49R. Harvey-PinardL000000.00230—15:02
11B. GallagherR000030.08000—13:31
52J. BarronD000+210.03000—13:21
89J. RoyR101+150.71110—12:32
13M. StephensC000010.090006010:57
56J. YlonenR000000.00000—08:19
55M. PezzettaL000000.06100—07:35
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)30282.9333.68+1.6860:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).