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New Jersey Devils at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSGSN2, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 18:22 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 5.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were NJD 34, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (4 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (3 G), 3. Justin Barron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes4 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Toffoli3 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Barron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD18114312534
MTLMTL11007112229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:49
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:24

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.03win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:22

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.38win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:34
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    7:17
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:35
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.92Video
    5-2
    19:34

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:23MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 14:40NJDBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

2nd

  • 10:33NJDKevin Bahl · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 13:35MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 18:40MTLJustin Barron · Cross checkingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

3rd

  • 7:10MTLArber Xhekaj · Holdingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 7:40NJDJohn Marino · Roughingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 10:16NJDErik Haula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNJD goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 2nd 18:22 — NJD 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.28C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.19M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.19S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.17B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.16R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.14M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Barron · Goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.09A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.09J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.04R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsMTL
5.34 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.22 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD62%38%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsMTL
34
Shots on goal
29
63%
Faceoffs
37%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC044+220.47110921:05
71J. SiegenthalerD000010.06000—20:58
7D. HamiltonD011+150.20020—20:32
63J. BrattL011030.31100—19:59
6J. MarinoD000+100.03112—19:36
13N. HischierC101040.781006819:28
43L. HughesD000+110.04110—18:59
73T. ToffoliC303+262.36000018:38
88K. BahlD000030.07122—18:32
2B. SmithD000+120.05332—16:11
91D. MercerC000000.04000015:09
28T. MeierR011+200.04200—15:08
56E. HaulaL000010.391027814:14
18O. PalatL000020.22200—13:54
14N. BastianR000010.00110—11:15
10A. HoltzR101020.16100—10:24
20M. McLeodC000010.043008710:10
42C. LazarC000000.0011010009:50
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)29272.9312.65+0.6559:39

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).