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Sharks at Sabres
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
0
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Mittelstadt's goal at 11:34 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were SJS 28, BUF 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alex Tuch (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Mittelstadt1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0801208028
BUFBUF07212116335

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(12)
    K. Okposo (7), R. Johnson (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:34
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(12)PPG
    J. Quinn (3), C. Mittelstadt (25)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:37

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Greenway(4)EN
    C. Mittelstadt (26), R. Dahlin (23)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    16:34

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

2nd

  • 13:36SJSFabian Zetterlund · High stickingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 15:34BUFRyan Johnson · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 5:40SJSKyle Burroughs · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 5:40BUFZemgus Girgensons · Interferencedrawn by Justin Bailey2 min
  • 7:53BUFOwen Power · Hookingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 11:08SJSNikita Okhotiuk · Hookingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalSJS goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Casey Mittelstadt, 2nd 11:34 — BUF 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.55A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.32T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.32C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.16T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.14P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.13T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.12E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.11K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.11E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.10P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.10P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07O. Power · On goal · xG 0.06H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04O. Power · On goal · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · Missed · xG 0.00A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 3.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsBUF
2.60 G
All situations
2 G3.8
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS40%60%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsBUF
28
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
17
1
Giveaways
2
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-120.13210—24:13
3H. ThrunD000010.02010—22:50
20F. ZetterlundL000-120.35202—20:48
48T. HertlC000-120.351306119:59
64M. GranlundC000-210.043204618:37
72W. EklundL000-230.19000—18:36
10A. DuclairL000-230.52100—18:29
44M. VlasicD000-130.03110—18:10
83N. OkhotiukD000010.02602—16:43
84J. RuttaD000010.01310—16:22
94A. BarabanovL000-140.47000—15:39
11L. KuninC000010.163106015:07
4K. BurroughsD000000.00122—14:54
18F. ZadinaR000020.17100—13:29
90J. BaileyR000010.0230010011:26
62K. LabancR000000.07110—10:07
49S. SabourinR000010.01410—10:02
22R. CarpenterC000000.051004009:56
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(L)34322.9413.26+1.2659:32

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).