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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSCH, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 2-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Jets answered. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 18:55 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.1 to 1.1; shots on goal were CHI 21, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Laurent Brossoit stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Petr Mrazek (26 saves, .929), 2. Laurent Brossoit (20 saves, .952), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek26 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit20 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0611005121
WPGWPG01006212228

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:19

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +42 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:31
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +46 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:55

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:02CHIJoey Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

2nd

  • 6:40WPGNino Niederreiter · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 9:38CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 16:34CHIRyan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 19:11WPGMorgan Barron · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 9:05CHITaylor Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 3rd 18:55 — WPG 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
1.11 G
All situations
2 G2.1
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI29%71%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.10 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
33
27
Blocked shots
20
6
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000010.04140—23:02
24J. MegnaD000-100.01040—21:24
5C. MurphyD101010.01230—19:59
16J. DickinsonC000-110.001004718:59
25J. TinordiD000-100.00340—18:22
55K. KorchinskiD000010.02010—18:00
11T. RaddyshR000-200.08202—16:27
22N. ZaitsevD000000.02240—16:27
23P. KurashevC000-220.090106216:25
20R. PitlickC000-120.12100015:51
8R. DonatoC000030.092325015:49
27L. ReichelL011+100.00010—15:31
14B. KatchoukL000040.3510010014:08
43C. BlackwellC000040.150005013:53
15J. AndersonR000000.01202—12:51
13Z. SanfordL000010.010106012:13
70C. GuttmanC011+110.1100010011:53
58M. EntwistleR000+100.000122011:38
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)28262.9292.08+0.0859:08

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).