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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSCH, TVAS·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Barron's goal at 6:23 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 21, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (1 A), 3. Connor Bedard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1506010121
WPGWPG16111111328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:39
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:43

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:23

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:06

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:07CHIConnor Murphy · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 13:53WPGNeal Pionk · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 3:59CHIJarred Tinordi · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 15:57CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 16:21WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

3rd

  • 6:03CHIRyan Donato · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Barron, 2nd 6:23 — WPG 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.34M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.15J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
1.81 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI40%60%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000030.06430—26:15
55K. KorchinskiD000-110.01010—21:13
23P. KurashevC011020.15102020:45
98C. BedardC101030.251005020:08
72A. VlasicD000010.05010—19:21
5C. MurphyD000-100.00422—18:49
17N. FolignoL000-100.00500—17:33
91A. BeauvillierR000020.450005016:55
90T. JohnsonC000000.040102716:29
22N. ZaitsevD000000.01340—15:25
11T. RaddyshR000010.1612010015:24
16J. DickinsonC000-110.083106415:14
25J. TinordiD000010.01502—15:03
15J. AndersonR000-100.00000—12:27
8R. DonatoC000020.142025712:09
14B. KatchoukL000000.00000—11:34
27L. ReichelL000020.210004011:29
58M. EntwistleR000020.1411010008:58
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)28253.8932.27-0.7358:13

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).