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Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSN, BSSUN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 7:00 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were TBL 30, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 23 (.957); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Darren Raddysh (2 G), 2. Victor Hedman (1 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL07213210430
MINMIN060918123

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:31
  2. TBL
    wrap-aroundxG 0.35win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:00

3rd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(6)PPG
    N. Kucherov (37), N. Paul (11)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:00
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:35
  3. TBL
    B. Hagel(11)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.88Video
    4-1
    19:19

Penalties

TBL 7 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:39TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 11:02MINFrederick Gaudreau · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 18:14MINDakota Mermis · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 8:25MINPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 8:25TBLAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min

3rd

  • 0:48MINNic Petan · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalTBL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, 2nd 7:00 — TBL 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.08D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.08B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · Goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 1.2 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMIN
3.73 G
All situations
1 G1.2
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL80%20%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 1.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
23
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD101+110.10020—27:03
43D. RaddyshD202+240.55210—25:41
86N. KucherovR011020.29100—22:57
48N. PerbixD000000.02430—21:01
21B. PointC000020.300004520:53
44C. de HaanD000070.16100—20:38
38B. HagelL101021.03102—18:39
20N. PaulL011000.330003318:25
91S. StamkosC000010.120106717:56
71A. CirelliC000+110.2700010016:47
23M. EyssimontC000+120.11320012:54
64T. MotteC011030.160005012:53
67D. CarlileD000+100.02120—11:27
84T. JeannotL000+120.03210—11:20
73C. ShearyL011+110.09010—11:06
11L. GlendeningC011+110.120003610:53
5P. MyersD000010.04120—09:16
51A. WatsonL000+100.00105—08:27
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)23221.9571.23+0.2359:44

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).