Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 7:00 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were TBL 30, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 23 (.957); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Darren Raddysh (2 G), 2. Victor Hedman (1 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (26 saves, .897).
Three stars
- ★D. Raddysh2 G

- ★★V. Hedman1 G

- ★★★M. Fleury26 saves, .897

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-04:31
2-07:00
3rd period
3-02:00
3-115:35
4-119:19
Penalties
1st
- 7:39
Brandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
- 11:02
Frederick Gaudreau · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 18:14
Dakota Mermis · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
2nd
- 8:25
Patrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
- 8:25
Austin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
3rd
- 0:48
Nic Petan · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Darren Raddysh, 2nd 7:00 — 64% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.73 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.2
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.0
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 1.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 7
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 17
- Hits
- 23
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 10
- Giveaways
- 7
- 7
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 2-0
4@
1this game
3@
7Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















