Skip to content
Wild at Lightning
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Minnesota Wild 7-3. The Wild scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 12:41 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 33, TBL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 31 of 38 (.816), 2.9 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (3 A), 2. Victor Hedman (1 G, 3 A), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN111210012333
TBLTBL111314313738

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(18)
    B. Faber (20), J. Middleton (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:17
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(8)
    B. Point (25), N. Kucherov (45)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:12

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(9)PPG
    B. Point (26), V. Hedman (34)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:16
  2. TBL
    W. Merela(1)
    C. Sheary (8), N. Perbix (14)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:20
  3. MIN
    M. Rossi(13)
    J. Middleton (11), K. Kaprizov (23)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:52
  4. TBL
    B. Point(21)
    N. Kucherov (46)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:41
  5. MIN
    J. Middleton(6)
    M. Rossi (13), M. Zuccarello (26)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:45

3rd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(19)PPG
    N. Kucherov (47), V. Hedman (35)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-5
    1:09
  2. TBL
    M. Eyssimont(7)PPG
    A. Cirelli (10), D. Raddysh (12)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-6
    6:59
  3. TBL
    A. Cirelli(10)
    B. Hagel (23), V. Hedman (36)
    wristxG 0.20Video
    3-7
    17:52

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:16MINBrock Faber · Roughingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 18:16TBLNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 18:16MINBrock Faber · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 20:00MINMarcus Johansson · High stickingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min

3rd

  • 2:53TBLTyler Motte · Hookingdrawn by Dakota Mermis2 min
  • 5:45MINKirill Kaprizov · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 12:44TBLCalvin de Haan · Cross checkingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 12:44MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 12:44TBLCalvin de Haan · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMIN goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 12:41 — TBL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Eyssimont · Goal · xG 0.40N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.27N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.24B. Point · Goal · xG 0.24N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.22A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.20N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.13W. Merela · Goal · xG 0.13B. Point · Missed · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.02M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL7 G · 4.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsTBL
2.73 G
All situations
7 G4.1
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
3 G1.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN29%71%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 4.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsTBL
33
Shots on goal
38
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
3/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24Z. BogosianD000-120.03100—23:38
25J. BrodinD000-110.03140—22:47
97K. KaprizovL011+330.44002—21:51
7B. FaberD011+120.02144—19:52
5J. MiddletonD123+120.22400—19:19
23M. RossiC112+230.480103317:50
36M. ZuccarelloR011+220.14002—16:49
17M. FolignoL000-110.05600—16:41
48D. HuntD000-100.00100—15:47
14J. Eriksson EkC101-160.541104415:15
38R. HartmanR000-120.091104015:08
6D. MermisD000-130.16110—15:06
12M. BoldyL000-110.03000—14:03
21B. DuhaimeL000-120.03300—13:46
26C. DewarC000-120.361003313:34
20P. MaroonL000-100.02100—12:43
90M. JohanssonL000-210.05002—12:26
89F. GaudreauC000-100.01110009:02
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)38317.8164.12-2.8860:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).