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Blues at Penguins
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV SN-PIT, BSMW·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 4:48 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 78% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 27, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (2 A), 3. Robert Thomas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0819110227
PITPIT1811626430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(4)
    E. Malkin (17), R. Smith (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:32

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(15)PPG
    J. Kyrou (17), T. Krug (16)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:06
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(14)PPG
    J. Guentzel (23), R. Rakell (7)
    tip-inxG 0.42win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:50

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(4)
    J. Harkins (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:48
  2. STL
    K. Kapanen(4)
    S. Perunovich (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:31
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(20)EN
    J. Guentzel (24), E. Karlsson (17)
    wristxG 0.75win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:29

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:49PITRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 19:30PITValtteri Puustinen · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

2nd

  • 6:03STLSammy Blais · Interferencedrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min
  • 12:47STLMarco Scandella · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 17:01STLAlexey Toropchenko · Holdingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 8:27PITRadim Zohorna · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSTL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 3rd 4:48 — PIT 78% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.75L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.63E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.42J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.23J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.12D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.04V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 4.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPIT
2.02 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL36%64%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
30
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
21
5
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD011-140.18020—24:55
55C. ParaykoD000000.00040—24:40
18R. ThomasC101-120.290104323:58
4N. LeddyD000030.07220—23:36
89P. BuchnevichL000-130.36000—22:52
25J. KyrouR011-120.37000—22:50
10B. SchennC000-220.065103520:26
42K. KapanenR101020.0810010016:34
20B. SaadL000020.35000—15:01
63J. NeighboursL000010.09120—15:01
51M. KesselD000010.01120—14:32
12K. HayesR000+110.080001914:29
6M. ScandellaD000-210.03012—12:28
48S. PerunovichD011-110.01020—12:22
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00102—11:19
70O. SundqvistC000-110.051103309:16
79S. BlaisL000-100.00302—06:27
28M. MacEachernL000-110.00100—05:59
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)29263.8972.78-0.2258:28

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).