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Penguins at Blues
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV SN-PIT, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Neighbours's goal at 5:39 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were PIT 33, STL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Saad (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (31 saves, .939), 3. Kasperi Kapanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Saad2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    STL
    K. Kapanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT111012110233
STLSTL182914421

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(1)
    R. Thomas (2), J. Kyrou (1)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:33
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(4)
    K. Letang (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:55

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(1)
    K. Kapanen (1), J. Faulk (1)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:39
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(1)
    A. Toropchenko (1), O. Sundqvist (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(2)
    K. Kapanen (2), R. Thomas (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    15:13
  2. PIT
    R. Zohorna(1)
    L. Eller (2), D. O'Connor (1)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:27

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:48PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

2nd

  • 15:18STLAlexey Toropchenko · Interferencedrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 0:28PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 3:44STLColton Parayko · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPIT goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Neighbours, 2nd 5:39 — STL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.61R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.56J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.33B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.26J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.21A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.21T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.20K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.20B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.16B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.03J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 4.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsSTL
3.72 G
All situations
4 G4.1
3.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT62%38%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsSTL
33
Shots on goal
21
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
25
9
Blocked shots
25
4
Giveaways
1
12
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-120.20000—26:52
28M. PetterssonD000+100.02000—22:57
59J. GuentzelC000-210.20000022:21
58K. LetangD011-140.08012—21:43
17B. RustR000-230.41120—20:32
87S. CrosbyC000-230.841105219:57
27R. GravesD000-110.02010—18:29
71E. MalkinC101020.290028318:20
67R. RakellR000-130.25100—17:22
20L. EllerC011+250.190102515:10
19R. SmithR000-120.21100—14:49
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.00310—12:14
10D. O'ConnorL011+120.0900010012:13
83M. NietoL000000.08000—11:45
5R. SheaD000-110.06110—11:32
63R. ZohornaL101+130.58100—10:56
55N. AcciariC000-110.181006310:28
77J. CarterC000-100.011105010:18
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)21174.8102.94-1.0658:02

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).