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Red Wings at Devils
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
New Jersey Devils
▸3
FinalTV BSDET, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Devils answered. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 12:45 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 24, NJD 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Michael Hutchinson stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Vitek Vanecek stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (2 G), 2. Michael McLeod, 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Meier2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. McLeod
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Toffoli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET161909224
NJDNJD110013213336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(5)
    A. DeBrincat (17), M. Seider (17)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:22
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:43

2nd period

  1. DET
    S. Gostisbehere(7)
    D. Sprong (13), C. Fischer (6)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:33

3rd period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:46
  2. NJD
    T. Toffoli(14)
    J. Bratt (25), J. Hughes (25)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:45

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:09NJDCurtis Lazar · Trippingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

2nd

  • 2:58DETLucas Raymond · Interferencedrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 5:15DETSimon Edvinsson · Holdingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 11:25DETDaniel Sprong · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 12:31NJDJesper Bratt · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 12:31DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

3rd

  • 3:53NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 5:32DETLucas Raymond · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Vitek Vanecek2 min
  • 13:35NJDOndrej Palat · Interferencedrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 3rd 12:45 — NJD 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.44J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.21D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.20A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.11C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.10M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.08S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.00O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
2.02 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET35%65%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
2
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011020.02330—23:55
71D. LarkinC000+120.150105922:44
37J. CompherL000-120.110203321:53
8B. ChiarotD000-100.00312—21:35
96J. WalmanD000030.04230—20:57
41S. GostisbehereD101-140.30010—20:32
93A. DeBrincatR011+130.22100—20:22
88P. KaneR101+140.24000—19:44
23L. RaymondL000000.00104—16:37
18A. CoppC000-100.000205716:00
27M. RasmussenC000-210.061005014:10
90J. VelenoC000-100.00100014:07
77S. EdvinssonD000000.05002—13:18
57D. PerronL000-120.51100—13:09
46J. PetryD000000.00000—11:53
14R. FabbriC000000.00000008:30
17D. SprongR011-110.24002—08:09
36C. FischerR011+100.060005006:37
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hutchinson(L)36333.9172.86-0.1457:48

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).