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Red Wings at Devils
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 15:37 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 35, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Vitek Vanecek stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G), 2. Vitek Vanecek (32 saves, .914), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    V. Vanecek32 saves, .914
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Hamilton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET014111210335
NJDNJD0621526427

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Sprong(1)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.31win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:14
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(1)PPG
    O. Palat (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:39
  3. NJD
    J. Hughes(2)
    T. Toffoli (1), J. Siegenthaler (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(1)PPG
    D. Larkin (1), S. Gostisbehere (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:43
  2. NJD
    D. Hamilton(1)
    J. Siegenthaler (2)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:37
  3. NJD
    E. Haula(1)EN
    J. Siegenthaler (3), J. Marino (1)
    wristxG 0.83win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:29
  4. DET
    R. Fabbri(1)PPG
    J. Compher (1), J. Walman (1)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:26

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:54DETJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 8:38NJDCurtis Lazar · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 14:38DETJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 15:14NJDJack Hughes · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

2nd

  • 12:56DETDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 14:23DETChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

3rd

  • 9:45NJDJack Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 12:37DETDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 17:20DETJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 17:30NJDJesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 3rd 15:37 — NJD 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.83J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.41T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.21J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.18D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.17J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.12J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.12O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.10M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.00D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
2.93 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.92 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET55%45%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
17
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-230.09430—26:14
96J. WalmanD011030.11142—21:22
37J. CompherL011-120.070106319:56
8B. ChiarotD000000.00100—19:23
41S. GostisbehereD011-120.12010—19:11
71D. LarkinC011-160.431006219:01
46J. PetryD000-110.02414—18:05
18A. CoppC000-150.260105417:11
93A. DeBrincatR101-120.17010—16:48
57D. PerronL000-230.08204—16:16
88D. SprongR101020.65000—14:57
23L. RaymondL000010.32100—14:55
14R. FabbriC101020.40100014:44
3J. HollD000000.00010—14:27
27M. RasmussenC000010.03110014:13
90J. VelenoC000010.041002010:22
24K. KostinC000010.07400007:25
36C. FischerR000000.0640210006:59
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(L)26233.8852.62-0.3857:48

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).