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Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV NHLN, ROOT-NW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Thomas Harley scoring at 2:16. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Thomas Harley's goal at 2:16 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were SEA 38, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (2 G, 1 A), 2. Scott Wedgewood (35 saves, .921), 3. Joe Pavelski (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Duchene2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    S. Wedgewood35 saves, .921
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA01321411001338
DALDAL2131100411428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:14
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:20

2nd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:32
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:20
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:48

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.34win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:38

Overtime

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene (17), J. Benn (16)
    tip-inxG 0.54win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:16

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:07DALTy Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

2nd

  • 15:06DALMiro Heiskanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:39SEAAlexander Wennberg · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 2:37SEATomas Tatar · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 5:11DALThomas Harley · Interferencedrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 9:52SEAYanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 12:24SEAYanni Gourde · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Scott Wedgewood2 min
  • 13:25DALJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSEA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Thomas Harley, OT 2:16 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Harley · Goal · xG 0.54J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.20M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.18J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsDAL
2.93 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA61%39%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsDAL
38
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000+110.02230—26:13
29V. DunnD000+310.01000—23:41
10M. BeniersC112+340.310006721:17
21A. WennbergC011-100.001223819:58
37Y. GourdeC000-250.193143219:24
20E. TolvanenR101-140.78410—19:19
22O. BjorkstrandR011-150.22300—18:55
39R. EvansD000-220.01100—18:22
13B. TanevL000020.10300—17:23
24J. OleksiakD000-120.13430—17:07
7J. EberleR011+330.060005017:01
90T. TatarL112+140.56202—16:16
8B. DumoulinD000-110.05110—15:53
3W. BorgenD000-200.04200—13:17
56K. YamamotoR000-120.19100—11:20
52T. KartyeL000020.21100—10:48
19J. McCannL000-100.0000010009:10
41P. BellemareL000000.00010—04:10
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(O)28244.8572.24-1.7661:30

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).