Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 27, DAL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Heiskanen1 G, 2 A

- ★★J. Robertson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★K. Yamamoto1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-119:57
2nd period
0-219:23
3rd period
0-312:23
1-314:11
Penalties
1st
- 14:13
Radek Faksa · High stickingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
2nd
- 3:59
Radek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
- 8:52
Jamie Oleksiak · Ps covering puck in crease0 min
- 18:22
Ryker Evans · Hookingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
- 18:44
Brandon Tanev · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Oettinger2 min
3rd
- 9:26
Matt Duchene · High stickingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
- 16:56
Kailer Yamamoto · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Craig Smith, 1st 19:57 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.2
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.5
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 25
- Hits
- 16
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 7
- Giveaways
- 6
- 5
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
DAL leads 3-0
3@
4OTFinal
3@
0Final
1@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
