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Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 27, DAL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    K. Yamamoto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0808111127
DALDAL1411917330

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:57

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:23

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:23
  2. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:11

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:13DALRadek Faksa · High stickingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

2nd

  • 3:59DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
  • 8:52SEAJamie Oleksiak · Ps covering puck in crease0 min
  • 18:22SEARyker Evans · Hookingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
  • 18:44SEABrandon Tanev · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Oettinger2 min

3rd

  • 9:26DALMatt Duchene · High stickingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 16:56SEAKailer Yamamoto · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSEA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 1st 19:57 — DAL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.19S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.17J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.04N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsDAL
1.81 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA42%58%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsDAL
27
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000020.03120—22:15
39R. EvansD000+120.06302—22:06
10M. BeniersC000020.110108720:06
7J. EberleR000020.20000—19:54
19J. McCannL000040.451002519:19
3W. BorgenD000-220.03030—17:58
8B. DumoulinD000020.05010—17:31
4J. SchultzD000000.00020—17:23
95A. BurakovskyL000000.11000—17:21
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00220—16:30
22O. BjorkstrandR000010.07120—16:18
17J. SchwartzL000020.15200—15:59
37Y. GourdeC000-210.013102113:49
56K. YamamotoR101+130.161023013:23
13B. TanevL000-210.06202—12:28
20E. TolvanenR000-110.10300—11:30
52T. KartyeL000020.19600—11:13
90T. TatarL011+100.00000—11:05
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)30273.9002.20-0.8058:51

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).