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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, MSG·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 4-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 1:43 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 70% to 84%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.2, WSH 2.4; shots on goal were NYR 31, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (1 G), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Aube-Kubel1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0801508031
WSHWSH11237010429

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:43

2nd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:43
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:35
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    11:52

Penalties

NYR 11 PIM·WSH 7 PIM

1st

  • 19:41NYRJonny Brodzinski · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 15:27WSHRasmus Sandin · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 3:22NYRJimmy Vesey · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 3:22NYRJimmy Vesey · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel5 min
  • 3:22WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Fightingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey5 min
  • 11:44NYRVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 2nd 1:43 — WSH 70% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.21D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.20A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.19N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.16S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.15D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.14N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · Goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
2.20 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.90 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR46%54%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
21
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-320.04110—23:30
23A. FoxD000020.06030—20:36
79K. MillerD000-320.05110—20:03
55R. LindgrenD000030.09210—19:41
16V. TrocheckC000-210.130225619:26
56E. GustafssonD000-110.06000—17:27
10A. PanarinL000-210.25000—17:14
93M. ZibanejadC000-230.210001817:09
12N. BoninoC000010.040002117:02
4B. SchneiderD000-100.02010—16:59
20C. KreiderL000-220.140003316:09
13A. LafrenièreL000-230.35400—16:00
17B. WheelerR000020.311006013:00
22J. BrodzinskiC000-210.0000210012:56
50W. CuylleL000010.01600—12:25
26J. VeseyL000030.29107—12:15
18R. NashC000010.011005011:05
71T. PitlickC000020.14400011:03
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)29254.8622.42-1.5860:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).