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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV MNMT, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Capitals scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 12:08 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 54% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 27, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.4 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. K'Andre Miller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    K. Miller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH01011007127
NYRNYR07311213531

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:12
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:03
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:08
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:48

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.01win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:54
  2. NYR
    A. Fox (20), K. Miller (8)
    slapxG 0.18Video
    1-5
    11:15

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:24WSHJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 19:35NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

2nd

  • 4:37WSHDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 8:45NYRBarclay Goodrow · Trippingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 10:18WSHIvan Miroshnichenko · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 2nd 12:08 — NYR 54% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.18C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.17C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.16W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.08E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
2.01 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH39%61%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
28
6
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-110.06002—21:54
57T. van RiemsdykD000-210.10020—19:50
42M. FehérváryD000000.01410—19:46
38R. SandinD011-210.00100—18:57
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.03200—18:10
3N. JensenD000010.01000—18:07
8A. OvechkinL000-140.36000—16:50
43T. WilsonR000020.31710—16:46
17D. StromeC000-100.170122916:40
26N. DowdC000000.001107116:11
47B. MalenstynL000010.0110010016:05
39A. ManthaR101070.34100—15:32
21A. ProtasL011-210.070006715:10
24C. McMichaelL000-110.060005014:43
92E. KuznetsovC000-100.000006713:13
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000-220.27002—12:52
96N. Aube-KubelR000030.23000—12:23
29H. LapierreC000-110.01000011:01
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)31265.8392.65-2.3560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).