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Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV ROOT-NW, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Seattle Kraken 2-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 13:37 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — SEA 2.4, OTT 2.5; shots on goal were SEA 39, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Anton Forsberg stopped 39 of 39 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (39 saves, 1.000), 2. Tim Stützle (1 A), 3. Mathieu Joseph (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg39 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Joseph1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA011013015039
OTTOTT11411103228

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:21

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:37

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:21OTTJakob Chychrun · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 14:55SEAMarián Studenic · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 3:57SEAJustin Schultz · Interferencedrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 9:45SEAEeli Tolvanen · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

3rd

  • 6:35OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:59OTTDominik Kubalik · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSEA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 2nd 13:37 — OTT 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.31D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.19J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.17T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.11T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.11T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.07R. Chartier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsOTT
2.40 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA49%51%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsOTT
39
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
23
11
Giveaways
18
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-120.21000—22:21
7J. EberleR000-120.3501010020:23
19J. McCannL000070.56100—19:38
24J. OleksiakD000-130.11130—19:35
37Y. GourdeC000040.224004719:01
10M. BeniersC000-130.151005018:54
6A. LarssonD000010.04020—18:30
22O. BjorkstrandR000050.44000—18:26
21A. WennbergC000-110.000105018:21
8B. DumoulinD000000.00000—18:01
20E. TolvanenR000020.12312—17:17
4J. SchultzD000-140.15002—17:11
3W. BorgenD000-100.04100—16:14
52T. KartyeL000-120.04400—14:15
13B. TanevL000-110.001005013:02
56K. YamamotoR000010.01000—11:40
41P. BellemareL000010.001005707:34
43M. StudenicR000-100.00102—06:20
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)28262.9292.48+0.4857:17

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).