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Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV ROOT-NW, TSN5·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 15:20 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals were close — OTT 3.5, SEA 3.4; shots on goal were OTT 33, SEA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Joey Daccord stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joey Daccord (32 saves, .970), 2. Andre Burakovsky (1 G), 3. Tomas Tatar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Daccord32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    SEA
    A. Burakovsky1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    T. Tatar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01301317133
SEASEA1721516428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:50

2nd period

  1. SEA
    J. Eberle (13), V. Dunn (26)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:20
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:03

3rd period

  1. OTT
    pokexG 0.63win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:20
  2. SEA
    V. Dunn(7)EN
    wristxG 0.48Video
    1-4
    17:47

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·SEA 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:17OTTJosh Norris · High stickingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 3:40SEAAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 5:23SEAJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 19:16OTTJakob Chychrun · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

2nd

  • 12:09SEAYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

3rd

  • 4:30SEABrian Dumoulin · High stickingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalOTT goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 2nd 15:20 — SEA 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.48V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.47T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.23Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.23T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.13A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.12A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.05A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsSEA
3.51 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT61%39%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsSEA
33
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
11
20
Blocked shots
22
2
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-220.28002—23:31
72T. ChabotD011-250.36010—23:12
85J. SandersonD000000.06120—23:07
28C. GirouxR000-310.060005620:45
18T. StützleC000-240.525103320:19
19D. BathersonR000-110.10010—19:01
7B. TkachukL000-140.441206718:56
2A. ZubD000020.02120—18:49
9J. NorrisC000-120.100026718:11
91V. TarasenkoR000-140.37100—16:55
81D. KubalikL011-120.08100—15:05
27P. KellyC101+110.6932010014:06
26E. BrannstromD000-100.01010—13:38
71R. GreigC000040.172103813:32
23T. HamonicD000-110.06240—13:03
13J. SmejkalL000000.17200—09:59
59A. CrookshankC000000.03010008:00
12M. KastelicC000-100.000203307:23
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)27243.8892.87-0.1358:28

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).