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Penguins at Predators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Nashville Predators
▸3
Final/OTTV SN-PIT, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Filip Forsberg scoring at 0:14. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 0:14 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 31, NSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Michael McCarron (2 G), 3. Gustav Nyquist (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. McCarron2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    G. Nyquist1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0111141600231
NSHNSH29080711325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. McCarron(2)
    T. Barrie (9), G. Nyquist (13)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:20
  2. NSH
    M. McCarron(3)
    P. Tomasino (6), F. Forsberg (15)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:38

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(10)
    R. Smith (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:49

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(10)
    J. Ludvig (1), J. Guentzel (17)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:26

Overtime

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(12)
    R. Josi (12), R. O'Reilly (9)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:14

Penalties

PIT 11 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 14:14PITJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min

2nd

  • 0:58NSHJeremy Lauzon · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 6:44PITJohn Ludvig · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 6:44NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by John Ludvig5 min
  • 9:26PITJansen Harkins · Hookingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 19:22PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

3rd

  • 5:28NSHCole Smith · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalPIT goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, OT 0:14 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.26M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.17M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.14R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.12L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.09J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.06A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.00G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNSH
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT66%34%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
16
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000+110.16110—25:11
28M. PetterssonD000+120.11332—23:52
27R. GravesD000000.00140—22:27
65E. KarlssonD000-210.09020—21:57
59J. GuentzelC011040.33100020:40
87S. CrosbyC000030.461005720:17
17B. RustR101+130.52010—19:40
71E. MalkinC101-120.10010917:20
10D. O'ConnorL000-120.17000—16:12
19R. SmithR011-120.16100—15:44
20L. EllerC000010.200104214:50
5R. SheaD000-110.02200—12:15
63R. ZohornaL000020.1200010011:43
43J. HarkinsC000010.01312011:34
83M. NietoL000010.24010—11:26
55N. AcciariC000010.040007511:05
7J. LudvigD011020.27215—10:28
77J. CarterC000020.021027508:20
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(O)25223.8802.14-0.8659:55

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).