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Maple Leafs at Penguins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 19:32 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 33, PIT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Tristan Jarry stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 G), 2. Noel Acciari (1 G), 3. Matthew Knies (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    N. Acciari1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR21506012233
PITPIT11821403335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(5)
    J. Tavares (13), M. Rielly (13)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:59
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(7)
    D. O'Connor (4), S. Crosby (11)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:27
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(6)
    C. Jarnkrok (6)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:48

2nd period

  1. PIT
    N. Acciari(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:01
  2. PIT
    E. Karlsson(6)
    K. Letang (10), J. Carter (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:32

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:18PITJohn Ludvig · Elbowingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 14:24TORCalle Jarnkrok · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

2nd

  • 4:17TORMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 5:56TORTJ Brodie · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:37PITRyan Graves · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

3rd

  • 1:56PITRadim Zohorna · Boardingdrawn by William Lagesson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalTOR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, 2nd 19:32 — PIT 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.23E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.14L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.14A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.04R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPIT
3.72 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR67%33%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.59 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
35
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
21
3
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88W. NylanderR000+140.09010—26:10
34A. MatthewsC000-130.590204224:15
44M. RiellyD011020.06020—23:45
16M. MarnerR000-130.34120—23:26
91J. TavaresC011+140.280006421:35
22J. McCabeD000-110.02010—20:50
59T. BertuzziL101020.57000—18:32
78T. BrodieD000000.03022—18:09
23M. KniesL101050.75210—16:37
55M. GiordanoD000010.03222—15:30
19C. JarnkrokC011030.130126714:21
85W. LagessonD000000.00120—12:32
11M. DomiC000030.280002911:16
2S. BenoitD000000.00330—11:04
25C. TimminsD000-110.03000—10:06
18N. GregorL000-110.38120—09:33
89N. RobertsonL000-100.08100—09:32
64D. KampfC000-100.000006209:30
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)35323.9142.60-0.4057:17

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).