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New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 18:10 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.8, WPG 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 34, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 2. Cole Perfetti (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD07210117334
WPGWPG09312310631

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.34win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:07
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:54
  3. NJD
    T. Meier(5)PPG
    O. Palat (5), J. Bratt (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:54
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:06
  5. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:10

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    9:54
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:58
  3. NJD
    D. Mercer(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.26win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    14:17
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.71Video
    3-6
    18:30

Penalties

NJD 17 PIM·WPG 19 PIM

1st

  • 5:32WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 16:43NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 13:23NJDTyler Toffoli · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 14:07WPGDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 2:27WPGBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 7:20NJDBrendan Smith · Boardingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 7:20WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 7:20NJDBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers5 min
  • 7:20WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 8:15NJDCurtis Lazar · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 13:15WPGJosh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 15:53NJDCurtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 15:53NJDCurtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 15:53WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 19:12WPGMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNJD goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 18:10 — WPG 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.72K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.34K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.05M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWPG
2.83 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.72 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD61%39%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWPG
34
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
2/4
17
Penalty minutes
19
24
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
21
3
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
63J. BrattL011-120.08400—22:00
7D. HamiltonD011-230.07012—21:24
71J. SiegenthalerD000-220.03100—21:00
6J. MarinoD101010.12000—20:25
43L. HughesD011-110.02120—20:24
28T. MeierR101-140.291103319:22
20M. McLeodC000-150.310007018:27
91D. MercerC101-140.581104618:27
73T. ToffoliC000-120.27102017:17
56E. HaulaL011030.353105816:37
10A. HoltzR000-110.08200—16:08
2B. SmithD000000.00327—15:37
18O. PalatL011020.31010—15:33
88K. BahlD000-100.00210—15:05
42C. LazarC011+120.2110610010:54
14N. BastianR000-200.00200—09:48
92T. NosekL000-220.06000—08:56
11C. TierneyC000-100.00200006:40
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)30255.8332.18-2.8259:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).