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Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 5:59 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 56% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 19, NJD 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Jake Allen stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G), 2. Luke Hughes (3 A), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    L. Hughes3 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG051905119
NJDNJD06123312441

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(22)PPG
    snapxG 0.24win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:00
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:47

3rd period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier (18), L. Hughes (29)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:59
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(23)PPG
    T. Meier (19), L. Hughes (30)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:52
  3. NJD
    T. Meier(22)EN
    backhandxG 0.37Video
    1-4
    19:11

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:27NJDKurtis MacDermid · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 17:11NJDSimon Nemec · Interferencedrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 8:51WPGserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:55WPGDylan Samberg · Holdingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 4:02WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 7:22NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 10:29WPGMorgan Barron · Interferencedrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 12:37NJDBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWPG goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, 3rd 5:59 — NJD 56% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.37J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.25N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.23N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.17J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.14A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.10T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00S. Hatakka · On goal · xG 0.00K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNJD
1.81 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
3 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG29%71%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNJD
19
Shots on goal
41
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/4
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
11
11
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-140.22010—25:42
55M. ScheifeleC011030.260003623:10
81K. ConnorL000-110.31000—22:05
4N. PionkD000020.07010—22:04
2D. DeMeloD011+100.00002—19:00
73T. ToffoliC000020.26000017:55
23S. MonahanC000-110.111002517:25
6C. MillerD000000.05010—16:41
5B. DillonD000+100.03120—16:10
9A. IafalloL000000.02020—15:59
22M. AppletonC000010.01000015:45
27N. EhlersL101030.27000—14:57
17A. LowryC000000.003003314:35
54D. SambergD000000.01112—13:08
62N. NiederreiterR000010.112005013:01
7V. NamestnikovC000010.0800010011:32
36M. BarronC000000.06212011:24
19D. GustafssonC000000.000206706:53
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(L)40373.9253.10+0.1057:13

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).