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Flyers at Ducks
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸6
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV BSW, NBCSP+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 12:31 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.6, ANA 3.8; shots on goal were PHI 36, ANA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Ersson (35 saves, .921), 2. Leo Carlsson (3 G), 3. Travis Sanheim (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Ersson35 saves, .921
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson3 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI21717312636
ANAANA01511528338

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    S. Couturier(3)
    C. Atkinson (4), E. Zamula (3)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:57
  2. PHI
    C. Atkinson(7)
    T. Sanheim (11), T. Foerster (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:31

2nd period

  1. PHI
    L. Belpedio(2)
    J. Farabee (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:33
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(4)PPG
    A. Killorn (1), M. McTavish (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:15

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(2)
    J. Farabee (6), C. York (3)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    7:39
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(5)
    A. Killorn (2), P. Mintyukov (8)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:34
  3. PHI
    O. Tippett(3)
    M. Frost (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    13:07
  4. ANA
    L. Carlsson(6)PPG
    T. Terry (6), R. Strome (10)
    wristxG 0.15
    5-3
    18:32
  5. PHI
    O. Tippett(4)EN
    T. Sanheim (12), S. Laughton (8)
    wristxG 0.70Video
    6-3
    18:59

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:11ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:02PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

2nd

  • 10:33ANARadko Gudas · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 11:34PHICam Atkinson · Hookingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 13:48PHIMorgan Frost · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 16:46PHICam York · Slashingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 1:39PHIEgor Zamula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 3:56ANALukas Dostal · Roughingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 16:37PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPHI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 1st 12:31 — PHI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.31L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.21F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.17M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.15L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.11P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.06U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsANA
3.65 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.35 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI37%63%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsANA
36
Shots on goal
38
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
18
21
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD123+410.32240—25:14
26S. WalkerD000+110.14130—24:17
24N. SeelerD000+130.08260—21:21
8C. YorkD011+300.01002—20:45
89C. AtkinsonR112+250.51002—18:04
21S. LaughtonC011+140.080024417:33
11T. KonecnyR000020.1001010017:07
14S. CouturierC101+220.570024016:48
71T. FoersterR011+230.34010—15:01
74O. TippettR202+241.03300—13:52
86J. FarabeeL022+320.0702010013:47
5E. ZamulaD011+110.00002—13:34
27N. CatesL000+110.011101813:21
19G. HathawayR000000.0041010012:23
48M. FrostC011020.140227512:20
10B. BrinkR000+120.12000—12:13
37L. BelpedioD101+120.11000—10:48
44N. DeslauriersL000010.01000—09:56
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(W)38353.9213.77+0.7760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).