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Ducks at Flyers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸7
Philadelphia Flyers
4
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSD·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-4. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 15:20 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.5, PHI 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 25, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.5 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 18 of 25 (.720), 4.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Frank Vatrano (3 G), 2. Ryan Strome (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mason McTavish (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Strome1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA282839725
PHIPHI010210210430

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Strome(2)
    M. McTavish (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:58
  2. ANA
    F. Vatrano(6)PPG
    C. Fowler (2), M. McTavish (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:20

2nd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(7)
    J. LaCombe (3), R. Strome (7)
    pokexG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    6:58
  2. ANA
    A. Henrique(1)
    M. Jones (1), J. Silfverberg (2)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-0
    9:30
  3. PHI
    C. Atkinson(5)
    O. Tippett (4), C. York (2)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:49
  4. PHI
    T. Konecny(7)
    S. Walker (2), S. Laughton (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:35

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Zegras(1)PPG
    R. Strome (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    2:42
  2. ANA
    B. Leason(2)
    S. Carrick (2), R. Johnston (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-2
    3:14
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(8)PPG
    S. Couturier (5), B. Brink (3)
    wristxG 0.12Video
    6-3
    9:51
  4. ANA
    F. Vatrano(8)SHG
    A. Henrique (3)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +1 ptsVideo
    7-3
    11:12
  5. PHI
    J. Farabee(4)
    B. Brink (4), N. Cates (3)
    wristxG 0.07Video
    7-4
    17:00

Penalties

ANA 13 PIM·PHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 6:57PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 6:57ANARoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 13:24PHIRyan Poehling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:40ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Holdingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 13:10ANABrett Leason · Slashingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 1:02PHIBobby Brink · Cross checkingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 8:51ANAserved by T. Zegras · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:43ANALeo Carlsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalANA goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 1st 15:20 — ANA 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.18S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.15J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.13T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.12R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.11T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.10O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.07B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.04T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPHI
2.57 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA50%50%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
30
38%
Faceoffs
63%
2/2
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
13
19
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7R. GudasD000+240.05110—21:36
4C. FowlerD011+210.05000—21:18
60J. LaCombeD011+110.10120—19:47
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.00222—18:55
34P. MintyukovD000-120.08250—17:46
19T. TerryR000-110.09110—17:12
91L. CarlssonC000-120.270121517:09
5U. VaakanainenD000+100.00110—17:08
11T. ZegrasC101-110.140005017:02
77F. VatranoR303+240.43110—16:53
16R. StromeC123+120.110005015:40
14A. HenriqueC112+220.461102315:24
33J. SilfverbergR011000.00000—14:31
23M. McTavishC022+130.510305314:20
39S. CarrickC011010.001004713:54
20B. LeasonR101+110.14202—13:46
49M. JonesL011000.03100—11:34
44R. JohnstonL011+100.00015—09:29
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)30264.8672.50-1.5059:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).