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Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Walker's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 23, PHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (2 G), 2. Owen Tippett (2 A), 3. Carter Hart (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Atkinson2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0711204123
PHIPHI1927116432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:50

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:54
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:23
  3. PHI
    S. Walker(1)SHG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:29

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.43win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:17

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:22EDMMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

2nd

  • 10:22PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 12:57EDMMattias Ekholm · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 17:29PHICam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:49EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 5:22EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalEDM goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Walker, 2nd 18:29 — PHI 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.43J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.20R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.18T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.13J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.08B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.06S. Walker · Goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.05C. York · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsPHI
1.91 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM32%68%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
16
6
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+130.04022—22:59
5C. CeciD011+100.00000—21:37
14M. EkholmD000-220.02004—20:55
2E. BouchardD000-310.09000—19:56
29L. DraisaitlC000-220.280005319:32
97C. McDavidC011-100.040006418:01
91E. KaneL000-150.16600—17:46
27B. KulakD000-110.01000—17:34
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-310.021025017:10
18Z. HymanL101-230.31200—16:23
73V. DesharnaisD000-100.00220—15:04
28C. BrownR000000.00200—14:37
71R. McLeodC000000.100104313:48
37W. FoegeleL000020.37100—12:38
55D. HollowayL000-110.19210—12:17
13M. JanmarkC000010.080005011:54
10D. RyanC000010.250005010:54
21A. ErneL000000.00100—08:55
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)32284.8752.95-1.0560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).