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Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSP, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marc Staal's goal at 17:00 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 26% to 47%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.2, EDM 3.4; shots on goal were PHI 37, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.6 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 4 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI011214012237
EDMEDM113211212536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:55

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:12
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:10
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:00
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid (37), Z. Hyman (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:05

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid (38), C. Ceci (10)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    1:27
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid (39), Z. Hyman (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:19

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:10EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 17:20PHIEgor Zamula · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 17:39EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 18:26PHITravis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

2nd

  • 5:09EDMBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 11:58EDMMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 18:31PHICam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

3rd

  • 4:02PHITyson Foerster · Slashingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 7:43EDMCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalPHI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Marc Staal, 2nd 17:00 — PHI 26% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.31C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.14R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.14W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.12R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.09W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.05R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hamblin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsEDM
3.22 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI45%55%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsEDM
37
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD000-220.07220—23:11
71T. FoersterR000030.18102—19:53
6T. SanheimD000-210.02400—19:36
89C. AtkinsonR000030.0800210019:31
74O. TippettR000-200.00600—18:28
86J. FarabeeL022030.11010—18:20
14S. CouturierC011+120.111104017:48
10B. BrinkR000-120.27100—17:27
48M. FrostC000-120.210005017:07
26S. WalkerD000-210.02210—16:50
5E. ZamulaD000020.03112—16:25
11T. KonecnyR112050.86102—15:29
24N. SeelerD000-100.00220—15:01
55R. RistolainenD000+210.04100—14:11
21S. LaughtonC000-160.851004414:01
25R. PoehlingC000-200.000005013:12
19G. HathawayR000020.2340010010:04
18M. StaalD101+120.13100—06:52
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)36315.8613.44-1.5660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).