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Hurricanes at Sharks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 9:07 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 18% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were CAR 42, SJS 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 36 of 42 (.857), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (2 G), 2. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR118112412642
SJSSJS152605316

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    F. Zetterlund(1)
    T. Hertl (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:15
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(1)PPG
    M. Bunting (2), T. Teravainen (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:06

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.48win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    8:54
  2. SJS
    F. Zadina(2)PPG
    F. Zetterlund (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:11
  3. SJS
    W. Eklund(1)PPG
    H. Thrun (2), T. Hertl (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:06

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(1)PPG
    J. Kotkaniemi (2), B. Skjei (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:07
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(2)PPG
    M. Necas (2), B. Burns (2)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:51
  3. CAR
    M. Necas(2)
    M. Bunting (3), B. Skjei (5)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    5-3
    14:53
  4. CAR
    B. Pesce(1)
    J. Kotkaniemi (3), S. Noesen (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    15:08

Penalties

CAR 22 PIM·SJS 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:29SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 4:17CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 10:01SJSFilip Zadina · Roughingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

2nd

  • 0:18SJSAnthony Duclair · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 5:54SJSAlexander Barabanov · Hookingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 7:26CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 11:51CARDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min
  • 14:10CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 16:06CARserved by M. Bunting · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:45SJSAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 18:30CARTony DeAngelo · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 20:00CARTony DeAngelo · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 7:08SJSTomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 10:57SJSMario Ferraro · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCAR goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 9:07 — CAR 18% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.18W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.13W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.10T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.03H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.03W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.02G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 1.2 xG · 23 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsSJS
3.76 G
All situations
3 G1.2
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G0.6
1.63 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.61 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR88%12%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.58 – 1.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsSJS
42
Shots on goal
16
53%
Faceoffs
47%
3/7
Power play
2/6
22
Penalty minutes
14
12
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
32
5
Giveaways
6
12
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD011+130.22010—21:01
24S. JarvisR202+140.2321010021:00
88M. NecasC112+140.150005020:23
86T. TeravainenC011+130.310105618:58
76B. SkjeiD022+240.20122—18:45
58M. BuntingL022+100.2500010018:36
7D. OrlovD000000.10002—17:57
74J. SlavinD101040.67000—17:53
82J. KotkaniemiC022+130.190124517:25
22B. PesceD101+130.11120—17:23
48J. MartinookL000-120.13000—15:56
11J. StaalC000-110.111124214:25
23S. NoesenR112+120.46100—14:19
71J. FastR000000.002105014:14
18J. DruryC000+130.180006712:46
5J. ChatfieldD000020.13000—12:17
77T. DeAngeloD000030.140012—08:34
28B. LemieuxL000010.08400—06:48
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)14122.8571.00-1.0054:12
31F. Andersen211.5000.21-0.7905:27

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).