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San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 15:10 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were SJS 20, CAR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (3 G), 2. Antti Raanta (20 saves, 1.000), 3. Seth Jarvis (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Raanta20 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS080804020
CARCAR215011114340

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis (4), S. Aho (4)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:10
  2. CAR
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:10

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis (5), S. Aho (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:06

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:50SJSLuke Kunin · High stickingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 8:04SJSWilliam Eklund · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 8:04CARMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 10:21CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by Givani Smith2 min

2nd

  • 1:30CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 7:46SJSGivani Smith · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

3rd

  • 13:58SJSGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 18:38SJSMike Hoffman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalSJS goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 1st 15:10 — CAR 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.32T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.25M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.20M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.19T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.17J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.16J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.15M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.5 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCAR
1.60 G
All situations
3 G4.5
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS11%89%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 4.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
40
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4K. BurroughsD000000.00230—21:56
38M. FerraroD000020.15210—20:46
48T. HertlC000000.070204819:52
84J. RuttaD000-230.09210—19:40
6T. EmbersonD000010.01500—18:53
71N. KnyzhovD000-100.04120—18:12
11L. KuninC000000.072124017:02
20F. ZetterlundL000010.061206717:01
72W. EklundL000030.251025017:01
44M. VlasicD000-110.00010—16:35
18F. ZadinaR000-210.01100—15:31
7N. SturmC000020.270008515:21
68M. HoffmanC000-200.07012015:07
10A. DuclairL000020.2000010015:05
22R. CarpenterC000-100.001204012:26
62K. LabancR000010.04010—10:59
24J. PetersonC000-110.121003309:58
54G. SmithR000020.12124—09:53
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(L)40373.9254.47+1.4760:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).