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Oilers at Predators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV BSSO, SNW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 6-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 13:38 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.8, NSH 3.1; shots on goal were EDM 30, NSH 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 G, 3 A), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM41121405630
NSHNSH015119010144

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(3)PPG
    Z. Hyman (2), R. Nugent-Hopkins (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:11
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(1)
    E. Bouchard (3), L. Draisaitl (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:38
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(2)
    W. Foegele (1), Z. Hyman (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:45
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(2)
    L. Draisaitl (3), E. Kane (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    17:46

2nd period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(2)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:08
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(4)PPG
    E. Bouchard (4), C. McDavid (3)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    7:53
  3. EDM
    W. Foegele(1)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (4), Z. Hyman (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-1
    15:27

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·NSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:17NSHRoman Josi · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 10:23EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 17:06NSHCole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Adam Erne5 min
  • 17:06EDMAdam Erne · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min

2nd

  • 0:59EDMConnor McDavid · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 2:23EDMCody Ceci · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 6:25NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

3rd

  • 8:24NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalEDM goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 1st 13:38 — EDM 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.20R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.18C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.14T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.13J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.11K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.09T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.00F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.00G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNSH
2.86 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.94 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
1.02 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM46%54%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
44
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
26
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
19
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+130.09212—25:30
5C. CeciD000010.03212—21:28
29L. DraisaitlC224+250.721006421:00
27B. KulakD000+130.13040—19:30
14M. EkholmD000+230.17410—19:13
2E. BouchardD022+210.02010—17:58
97C. McDavidC112+120.162022217:18
91E. KaneL011+110.03200—17:03
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC123+330.170005515:19
86P. BrobergD000+210.07030—14:59
13M. JanmarkC000000.100004414:51
28C. BrownR000020.1320010014:13
71R. McLeodC000000.080005613:33
18Z. HymanL134+310.24300—13:30
21A. ErneL000010.3730510013:06
10D. RyanC000000.171105012:43
37W. FoegeleL112+220.160105011:51
55D. HollowayL000010.01400—11:46
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)44431.9773.06+2.0660:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).