Skip to content
Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV NHLN, BSSO·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Oilers scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tommy Novak's goal at 15:15 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals were close — NSH 3.2, EDM 3.0; shots on goal were NSH 34, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jack Campbell stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (3 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 2 A), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11031519534
EDMEDM111114010235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(2)PPG
    M. Ekholm (2), R. McLeod (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:57
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(2)
    R. O'Reilly (4), M. Del Gaizo (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:22

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(5)
    F. Forsberg (9), A. Carrier (3)
    slapxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:23
  2. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(6)PPG
    F. Forsberg (10), T. Novak (3)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:24
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(4)PPG
    E. Bouchard (7), C. McDavid (8)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:08
  4. NSH
    T. Novak(6)
    L. Evangelista (6), R. Josi (6)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:15

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(7)
    G. Nyquist (4), A. Carrier (4)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    8:22

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:36NSHJeremy Lauzon · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 13:58EDMVincent Desharnais · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:47EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 3:36NSHAlexandre Carrier · Holding the stickdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:30EDMRyan McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 6:05NSHTommy Novak · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 7:39EDMserved by Z. Hyman · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:55EDMEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 5:55NSHJuuso Parssinen · Embellishment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Tommy Novak, 2nd 15:15 — NSH 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.32Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.16D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM2 G · 3.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
3.25 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.54 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH53%47%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
35
66%
Faceoffs
34%
1/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
6
7
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+120.14210—22:10
3J. LauzonD000+210.05442—19:47
57D. FabbroD000+130.09120—19:25
45A. CarrierD022+210.05122—19:20
22T. BarrieD000+100.02010—19:12
82T. NovakC112+120.360027518:44
90R. O'ReillyC314+330.700007918:39
7M. Del GaizoD011+110.13220—18:02
10C. SissonsC000010.130106217:37
9F. ForsbergL123+340.3620010017:04
13Y. TreninC000010.0441010016:20
14G. NyquistR011+350.440005015:57
36C. SmithR000030.07500—15:45
75J. ParssinenC000010.102125012:51
77L. EvangelistaR011+120.24000—12:04
26P. TomasinoR000010.07000—11:07
44K. SherwoodL000+130.15000—10:13
18L. FoudyC000000.00210009:50
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)35332.9433.03+1.0360:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).