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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalT-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 0:42 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 30, VGK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.5 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (2 G), 2. Mark Stone (1 G, 2 A), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0509116130
VGKVGK1831502425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:50

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:42
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:41
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    8:37

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.19
    1-4
    14:22

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:17WPGDylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

  • 6:13VGKBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min
  • 6:13WPGKarson Kuhlman · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 8:27WPGAdam Lowry · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 20:00VGKJonathan Marchessault · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 20:00WPGKevin Stenlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 2nd 0:42 — VGK 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.42M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.22C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.18W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.14N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.10N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
2.01 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG41%59%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
30
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/0
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000010.04310—26:10
88N. SchmidtD000020.14060—24:26
27N. EhlersL000000.15020—21:10
81K. ConnorL101-120.37000—21:02
5B. DillonD000-120.06200—19:29
22M. AppletonC000-130.13300019:05
2D. DeMeloD000-220.03220—18:52
80P. DuboisC000-230.140004417:49
26B. WheelerR011+130.180003616:39
17A. LowryC011+120.354024716:31
28K. StenlundC000030.160024516:05
54D. SambergD000-110.01112—14:49
62N. NiederreiterR000-210.02210—14:22
77K. CapobiancoD000-110.06120—13:02
36M. BarronC000010.03310012:26
7V. NamestnikovC000000.000006711:26
20K. KuhlmanC000010.07202010:15
8S. MaenalanenR000020.02400—07:41
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)25214.8402.47-1.5352:31

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).